Posts Tagged ‘private companies’

Retail Data - What IS Selling

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

We heard last week that retail sales declined 1.5% from last month; here is a look at small business retailers and what is selling: 

Industry

Financial Metric

2007

2008

Last 12 Months

4541 - Online Stores and Mail-Order Houses

Sales Pct Change

6.32%

5.91%

6.80%

4451 - Grocery Stores

Sales Pct Change

5.61%

6.18%

6.64%

4452 - Specialty Food Stores 

Sales Pct Change

7.11%

6.79%

6.64%

4511 - Sporting Goods & Stores 

Sales Pct Change

3.27%

3.18%

3.90%

4461 - Health and Personal Care Stores 

Sales Pct Change

4.13%

4.17%

3.88%

4442 - Lawn and Garden Equipment and Supplies Stores 

Sales Pct Change

5.02%

2.76%

2.43%

4453 - Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores 

Sales Pct Change

6.01%

1.59%

0.88%

The data shows that consumers are still opening their wallets for necessities like food and shampoo, but there are some surprises in there as well. Online-only stores have seen sales growth of almost 7% over the past year.  The increase in this sector jives with what we heard about Amazon’s earnings today. 

One Year Later

Tuesday, September 29th, 2009

It’s been a year now since the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the subsequent/concurrent fallout in real estate and consumer spending. Below is a list of the 20 industries that have been affected the greatest, for better and for worse.

  • Oil drillers, food & medicine manufacturers, and trade schools were some of the best.
  • Real estate, wood products and auto dealerships fared the worst.
Sageworks: Best-Performing Privately-Held Companies Over the Last 12 Months, by Sales Growth
Industry Sales % Change
2111 - Oil and Gas Extraction 29.7%
4245 - Farm Product Raw Material Wholesalers 21.2%
3254 - Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing 19.9%
5182 - Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services 16.8%
1111 - Oilseed and Grain Farming 16.3%
3119 - Other Food Manufacturing 14.9%
3118 - Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing 14.1%
4235 - Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Wholesalers 13.7%
4885 - Freight Transportation Arrangement 13.0%
6115 - Technical and Trade Schools 12.8%
Sageworks: Worst-Performing Privately-Held Companies Over the Last 12 Months, by Sales Decline
2372 - Land Subdivision -13.79%
3212 - Veneer, Plywood, and Wood Product Manufacturing -13.45%
5312 - Offices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers -11.91%
4411 - Automobile Dealers -10.24%
4422 - Home Furnishings Stores -7.81%
4233 - Lumber and Construction Materials Wholesalers -7.40%
4441 - Building Material and Supplies Dealers -6.03%
3273 - Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing -5.75%
4531 - Florists -5.25%
4412 - Other Motor Vehicle Dealers -5.01%

Consumers Find the Time & Money to Indulge

Tuesday, September 29th, 2009

Here is a brief list that was just compiled by the financial information company, Sageworks, outlining a handful of interesting recession-time behaviors, all of which are small indulgences that have seen growth in the last 12 months. People may not be spending on large luxuries like cars, jewelry and vacations but they are still keeping room in the budget for small luxuries like gym memberships and dining out.   

 

Indulgences that Are Helping Consumers De-Stress in the Recession
Recession-Time Indulgences NAICS - Industry Last 12 Months Sales Growth
   1. Shopping Online 4541 - Electronic Shopping 8.6%
   2. Belonging to a Gym 71394 - Fitness & Recreational Centers 6.7%
   3. Going Out for a Drink 7224 - Bars & Drinking Places 5.8%
   4. Playing Sports & Hobbies 4511 - Sporting Goods & Hobby Stores 4.7%
   5. Dining Out 7221 - Full-Service Restaurants 3.1%
   6. Getting Haircuts & Manicures 8121 - Personal Care Services 2.5%
Source: Sageworks, the leading provider of private company data. 

 

 

The Upside of a Down Economy

Tuesday, September 29th, 2009

Sageworks compiled this list of 4 favorable changes in the business world over the last year, showing the upside of the down economy for businesses.  The data is elaborated on by Sageworks CEO, Brian Hamilton, on this Fox Business segment.

The Upside of a Down Economy:
4 Ways Businesses Have Improved Over the Last Year
Businesses Have… Data/Reason
1. Become More Efficient Profit margins have increased in 10/15 major business sectors looking at private companies. 
2. Become Less Reliant on Debt Debt levels have decreased. The average debt/equity ratio for private companies is at its lowest levels in at least 6 years.
3. Gained Access to a Larger Pool of Talent for Recruiting There is more talent available for hire. After seeing growth greater than 10% every year from ‘04-’07, sales have been flat for employment services firms in ‘08 and ‘09. This suggests that, as we know, companies are hiring less and when they do hire, they are more easily able to find talented prospective employees on their own. 
4. Negotiated Better Deals from Suppliers Unlike many other sectors, wholesalers have seen decreased profit margins, suggesting that they aren’t making as much off of every dollar sold. Declining prices may have something to do with it. 
*Source: Sageworks, Inc. Sageworks is a financial information company. 

Bankruptcy-Prone Industries

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

With all of the talk of large bankruptcy filings, Sageworks released a list of 10 types of private companies that are most likely to file for bankruptcy in the coming months. The list is based on the average debt-to-equity ratio in the industry over the last 12 months. A high debt-to-equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in using debt to finance growth. 

10 Bankruptcy-Prone Industries
According to Sageworks, Inc. Figures are based on the last 12 Months.
NAICS Industry Debt/Equity Ratio  Net Profit % Change 
4411 Automobile Dealers 4.45 -19.38%
4412 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 4.42 -10.75%
6231 Nursing Care Facilities 4.11 -1.37%
7211 Hotels & Traveler Accommodations 3.94 6.61%
4511 Sporting Goods & Hobby Stores 3.91 1.67%
2372 Land Development & Subdivision Companies  3.85 -41.63%
5616 Investigation & Security Services 3.48 -4.27%
2361 Residential Building Companies 3.45 -20.87%
3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturers 3.45 -15.97%
3231 Printing Companies 3.02 -12.95%
*Sageworks is the leading provider of private company data.

Most Profitable Industries of 2008

Wednesday, January 28th, 2009

Below is the 2008 Sageworks ranking of the most profitable industries in the United States.  Companies in these industries have the highest net profit margins of all privately held companies over the last 12 months.  You may notice that 9 of the 10 industries are service providers and 4 are in the healthcare field. 

Sageworks Ranking of the 10 Most Profitable Industries

Over the Last 12 Months

Industry Net Profit Margin
6212 - Offices of Dentists

16.96%

5412 - Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll Services

15.55%

5411 - Legal Services

13.39%

6213 - Offices of Other Health Practitioners

12.02%

2131 - Support Activities for Mining

11.93%

6211 - Offices of Physicians

11.86%

6214 - Outpatient Care Centers

11.52%

3328 - Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities

11.36%

5222 - Nondepository Credit Intermediation

11.06%

5242 - Agencies, Brokerages, and Other Insurance Related Activities

10.75%

Are People Remodeling and Upgrading Instead of Selling Homes?

Thursday, December 18th, 2008

Sageworks Inc. released data today looking at how privately held residential remodelers and finishing contractors such as painters and flooring businesses are faring this year.  While privately held residential construction companies have seen sales decline by an average of 5.35 % in 2008, sales are still growing for residential remodelers (5.31% in 2008) and finishing contractors (7.43% in 2008).  Could the fact that it’s a buyer’s market be driving homeowners to stay in their current homes and fix up instead of move out?  The data is displayed below.  

Building Finishing Contractors (NAICS 2383): The types of businesses in this industry include painting, flooring, tile, carpentry and insulation contractors.  Sales growth increased for the average finishing contractor from 6.16% in ‘07 to 7.43% in ‘08.  The industry is not recession proof; the amount of time it takes to collect payment has increased from 47.63 days in 2007 to 51.4 days in 2008.  Net profit margins have decreased on average from 5.31% in 2007 to 3.74% in 2008. 

Industry Financial Metric 2006 2007 2008
2383 - Building Finishing Contractors   Sales Pct Change 10.84% 6.16% 7.43%
2383 - Building Finishing Contractors Accts Receivable Days   39.18 47.63 51.4
2383 - Building Finishing Contractors   Net Profit Margin 6.15% 5.31% 3.74%

 Residential Remodelers (NAICS 236118): Sales growth for the average residential remodeler is at an average of 5.31% in 2008, down from 8.24% last year.  Residential remodelers are also not recession proof; the amount of time it takes to collect payment has increased from 15.22 days in 2007 to 22.09 days in 2008.  Net profit margins have increased from 6.98% in 2007 to 7.78% in 2008. 

Industry Financial Metric 2006 2007 2008
236118 - Residential Remodelers   Sales Pct Change 14.30% 8.24% 5.31%
236118 - Residential Remodelers Accts Receivable Days  14.47 15.22 22.09
236118 - Residential Remodelers   Net Profit Margin 5.22% 6.98% 7.78%

A Few Bright Spots: Top Industries by Sales Growth

Thursday, December 18th, 2008

 Businesses providing “need-to-haves” are faring relatively well this year. 

Sageworks released data today looking at the top 30 industries over the past 12 months by sales growth.  The ranking is below along with an outline of the types of privately held businesses that are found in the list. 

Top Performing Industries by Sales Growth Over the Last 12 Months
Industry Sales Growth
 4245 - Farm Product Raw Material Wholesalers 21.70%
 1121 - Cattle Ranching and Farming 19.45%
 2131 - Support Activities for Mining 17.76%
 4247 - Petroleum and Petroleum Products Wholesalers 16.31%
 5629 - Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 14.85%
 3345 - Navigational, Measuring,Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing 14.80%
 6216 - Home Health Care Services 14.49%
 5112 - Software Publishers 14.18%
 4885 - Freight Transportation Arrangement 13.70%
 3121 - Beverage Manufacturing 13.69%
 5179 - Other Telecommunications 13.49%
 1151 - Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry 13.44%
 5621 - Waste Collection 13.34%
 4543 - Direct Selling Establishments 13.33%
 6215 - Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories 13.12%
 3241 - Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing 12.97%
 3364 - Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing 12.57%
 3119 - Other Food Manufacturing 12.41%
 3391 - Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing 12.26%
 5412 - Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll Services 11.87%
 5613 - Employment Services 11.54%
 5616 - Investigation and Security Services 11.23%
 6214 - Outpatient Care Centers 11.08%
 4236 - Electrical and Electronic Goods Wholesalers 11.04%
 3118 - Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing 10.84%
 5614 - Business Support Services 10.81%
 5511 - Management of Companies and Enterprises 10.78%
 5415 - Computer Systems Design and Related Services 10.77%
 7223 - Special Food Services 10.18%
 4235 - Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Wholesalers 10.18%

Health Care: Of the 30 industries listed, four are related to healthcare.  Home health care services saw sales grow an average 14.49% during the past 12 months.  Medical and diagnostic laboratories saw an average 13.12% growth in sales during the same time period.  The medical equipment and supplies manufacturing industry also experienced sales growth, up an average 12.26 percent.  Outpatient care centers saw an average 11.08% growth in sales over the past 12 months.   These health care industries are still growing, especially as generations such as the baby boomers are getting older.

Petroleum, Coal & Mining: Petroleum Wholesalers (16.31%) and Petroleum & Coal Products Manufacturers (12.97%) are both on the best-performing industries list.  Also, businesses providing support activities for Mining (17.76%) and Metal and Mineral Wholesalers (10.18%) fell in the top 25 industries by sales growth over the last 12 months. 

Waste Services: Businesses providing necessary services have proven to be relatively recession-proof; this may be because many of these services are contracted by cities and towns across the nation.  Remediation and Other Waste Management Services saw average sales growth of 14.85% over the past 12 months and Waste Collection companies saw sales grow by an average of 13.34% in the same period.

Technology & Telecommunications: Software Providers (14.18%), Other Telecommunications businesses (providers of specialized telecommunications applications, such as satellite tracking – 13.49%), and companies providing Computer Systems Design Services (10.77%) all fell in the top 25 industries by sales growth over the past 12 months.  Technology is still moving forward even as the economy slows. 

Agriculture: Farm Product Raw Material Wholesalers (21,7%), Cattle Ranching & Farming (19.45%), and businesses providing Support Activities for Agriculture & Forestry (13.44%) all grew at a healthy rate this year.  This may be attributable to the fact that agriculture-related industries are providing many “need-to-haves”. Crops and commodities are essential as a source of food and raw materials, so as the economy weakens and consumers are more watchful for bargains or scaling back to only things they need, industries involving farming should be some of the last to be affected by the pained economy.

 Accounting: Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll Services businesses grew at an average of 11.87% over the last 12 months.  With all of the skepticism about the future of banks and businesses, it is no wonder that accounting firms are growing their revenues this year.  An accountant or CPA, who is often a business owner’s closest advisor, is likely to be utilized during the current time to discuss how to manage a business in a tough economy; business owners may seek as much advice as possible to ensure that the bottom line stays above water. 

Bad times for GM and Ford trickle down to auto dealers and suppliers

Monday, October 20th, 2008
Last week the New York Times reported that J.D. Power & Associates cut its forecast for United States motor vehicle sales this year to 13.6 million vehicles, a 16 percent decline from last year’s total, and it said 2009 sales could fall as low as 13.2 million. This news resulted in a plummet in the stock prices of both GM & Ford. How are privately owned automobile dealerships faring in this current environment?

The state of these dealerships seems to be quite similar to that of the American auto manufacturing giants. An analysis of Sageworks data on private companies in the “auto dealers” and “other motor vehicle manufacturing” industries shows that over the last 12 months alone, both of these industries fall in the bottom 5% of all industries in the database by all 4 borrowing/debt ratios that are tracked. The metrics analyzed include debt service coverage, interest coverage, debt to EBITDA, and debt to equity. This indicates that the restricted borrowing environment resulting from the current credit crisis may have a particularly dire effect on the auto sales industries.

Not surprisingly, sales growth for automobile dealers has gone from 2.37% in 2007 to

-1.83% in 2008 thus far. According to Sageworks data on private companies, sales of auto dealerships have not experienced a decline since the data began being collected in 2000. Additionally, cash as percent of total assets has decreased from 8.53% in 2007 to 6.99% in 2008.

Motor vehicle parts and supplies wholesalers have also seen a huge sales decline since 2007. Sales grew at an average of 0.7% in 2007 and have declined at an average rate of 11% in 2008.

Advertising Spending May Be The First To Go

Tuesday, October 7th, 2008

Companies such as newspapers, news websites and social networking sites dependent on advertising dollars to make money may see a particular slow down as businesses cut unnecessary expenditures for fear of continued economic woes.  Sageworks Database of private company activity shows a downward trend in advertising dollars spent as a percent of sales from 2007 to 2008 for automobile dealers, restaurants and retail clothing stores.

In light of this trend Brian Hamilton, CEO of Sageworks, remarked, “when companies feel threatened in an uncertain economic environment, they tend to cut discretionary expenses, one of which is advertising.  Unfortunately, this tends to further depress sales and profits, since good advertising efforts drive profits and sales.”

The downward trend in advertising which is presumably due to tightened spending by businesses is similar to the downward trend being felt by retail stores due to tightened discretionary spending by consumers (see “Small and Large Retail Businesses Feel the Downturn“).

See also: http://www.adotas.com/2008/09/report-display-down-6-year-over-year/ - On online advertising trends in 2008.