It’s been a year now since the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the subsequent/concurrent fallout in real estate and consumer spending. Below is a list of the 20 industries that have been affected the greatest, for better and for worse.

• Oil drillers, food & medicine manufacturers, and trade schools were some of the best.
• Real estate, wood products and auto dealerships fared the worst.

The commerce department reported a 0.8% unexpected gain in construction spending for April, marking a two month consecutive increase despite predictions that spending would drop 1.2%.  

Sageworks Index data also supports a rise in construction activity, but for an additional consecutive month as the data below indicate that sales rose 4.55 % in May after rising 2.94 % in April and 1.66 % in March.

Housing starts also showed a surprising 17.2 % increase in May after a 12.9% drop in April. While housing starts provide an outlook for future construction activity, the large number of unsold homes on the market will be a limitng reactant for new growth in residential construction.

Below is a new list of 7 things that consumers are still doing.  People are fixing their cars, remodeling their homes, and still making trips to the dentist.  While some consumer behaviors have changed, it is nice to hear that the world hasn’t stopped in the current economic climate.

 7 Things Consumers Are (Still) Doing:

• Auto repair shops grew their sales by an average of 2.4% over the last 12 months.
• In contrast, car dealerships saw their sales decline by 9.7% in the same period.

 2) Remodeling and fixing their homes instead of moving.

• Building equipment contractors (such as electricians, plumbing and heating contractors) saw their sales increase by 4.6% in the last 12 months.
• In contrast, home builders saw their sales decrease by over 5% in the same period.

 3) Shopping at grocery stores more than eating out.

• Grocery stores experienced average sales growth of 6.7% over the last 12 months.
• Sit-down restaurants saw growth of 3.9% in the same period.

 4) Attending technical and trade schools.

• Trade and technical schools saw their top-line sales grow by 7.8% in the last 12 months, compared to growth of 5.9% in 2007.

 5) Going to the dentist.

• The average dentists’ office experienced sales growth of 6.9% in the last 12 months, up from 4.9% in 2007.

 6) Getting personal care services such as haircuts and manicures.

• Hair salons, barber shops, nail salons, and skin care providers experienced an average of 4.5% sales growth in the last 12 months.

 7) Visiting an accountant.

• Accounting firms saw average top-line revenues grow by 10.2% over the last 12 months, putting the accounting industry in the top 20 industries in the country by sales growth.

Below is Sageworks list of the 7 industries that took longest to collect payment for their services/products over the last 12 months (upwards of 48 days). You will see that 6 of the 7 industries are related to construction and real estate; perhaps to offset sluggish sales, the average company in these industries is allowing customers to pay more leniently. All of the industries saw their accounts receivable days increase from 2007.

Sageworks Inc. released data today looking at how privately held residential remodelers and finishing contractors such as painters and flooring businesses are faring this year.  While privately held residential construction companies have seen sales decline by an average of 5.35 % in 2008, sales are still growing for residential remodelers (5.31% in 2008) and finishing contractors (7.43% in 2008).  Could the fact that it’s a buyer’s market be driving homeowners to stay in their current homes and fix up instead of move out?  The data is displayed below.  

Building Finishing Contractors (NAICS 2383): The types of businesses in this industry include painting, flooring, tile, carpentry and insulation contractors.  Sales growth increased for the average finishing contractor from 6.16% in ‘07 to 7.43% in ‘08.  The industry is not recession proof; the amount of time it takes to collect payment has increased from 47.63 days in 2007 to 51.4 days in 2008.  Net profit margins have decreased on average from 5.31% in 2007 to 3.74% in 2008. 

 Residential Remodelers (NAICS 236118): Sales growth for the average residential remodeler is at an average of 5.31% in 2008, down from 8.24% last year.  Residential remodelers are also not recession proof; the amount of time it takes to collect payment has increased from 15.22 days in 2007 to 22.09 days in 2008.  Net profit margins have increased from 6.98% in 2007 to 7.78% in 2008. 

In a recent recent blog post titled, “I Repeat: It’s Not Just A “Wall Street Bailout”

Brian Sullivan of Fox Business reminded readers that the housing crisis is not an island to itself, and explained that there are a number of industries that all benefit from home transactions. Sageworks data agrees, and shows that industries related to home building and housing have all been adversely affected by the crisis.

When Sageworks, Inc.’s data was mined for those privately held industries with the slowest sales growth over the last 12 months, it confirmed that a number of housing related industries such as furniture stores, lumber wholesalers, and building materials companies now rank among industries reporting the slowest sales growth in the US over the last 12 months.

Those Industries listed in the top 10th percentile for the slowest sales growth over the last 12 months includes the following:

Brian Sullivan also explained that consumer spending was 70% of the economy, and much of that was related to housing. Historically, the ability to borrow and spend has tracked closely with real estate prices. With that in mind, watch retail spending and especially the auto industry (see previous post), where the consumers ability to borrow is directly related to auto sales.