Archive for June, 2009

Which Retailers are Holding Inventory the Longest?

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Sageworks released a study this morning outlining what types of retailers are holding their inventory the longest over the past 12 months, compared to pre-recession 2006.  Jewelry stores are holding their inventory 19 days longer in the last 12 months, compared to 2006, the largest increase of any retail sector. Nurseries and lawn equipment stores are second on the list, with an increase of 14 days.  As we all know, the longer it takes for inventory to turn, the more serious the implications are on cash flow and profits.

Sageworks Study: Retailers’ Inventory Days, 2006 vs. Today

NAICS - Industry

2006

2007

2008

Last 12 Months

Change From 2006

4483 - Jewelry, Luggage, & Leather Stores

82

87

102

102

19

4442 - Lawn & Garden Equipment Stores

70

78

81

84

14

4453 - Beer, Wine, & Liquor Stores

52

56

64

64

12

4441 - Building Material Retailers

62

68

71

71

8

4422 - Home Furnishings Stores

43

46

51

51

8

4481 - Clothing Stores

76

80

80

83

7

4511 - Sporting Goods & Hobby Stores

76

77

84

83

7

4411 - Automobile Dealers

64

68

71

71

6

4431 - Electronics & Appliance Stores

50

55

53

55

5

4412 - Other Motor Vehicle Dealers

83

86

82

88

5

4452 - Specialty Food Stores

23

25

28

27

4

4461 - Health & Personal Care Stores

39

39

42

43

4

4541 - Electronic Shopping & Mail-Order Houses

53

53

56

56

3

4471 - Gasoline Stations

11

11

12

13

1

4532 - Office Supplies & Stationary Stores

52

50

55

52

0

4451 - Grocery Stores

28

27

26

28

0

4421 - Furniture Stores

72

71

70

69

-3

4413 - Automotive Parts and Tire Stores

58

56

54

54

-4

Successful Service Businesses

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Below is a list of successful small businesses that those who are unemployed may want to consider starting. These businesses have been very successful despite the downturn and are a particularly good idea for new entrepreneurs to consider because they are service based and have low barriers to entry. They offer great opportunity for growth and profits, and carry little to no overhead expense.

 

Computer program design People have big ideas but don’t necessarily know how to make them happen.  This is where computer systems designers come in; they design technology to fit their customers’ needs.  Computer systems designers have seen their sales increase by 10.4% over the last 12 months.

Child day care While day care can be a big expense for a family, it is also one of the most important.  Believe it or not, people are still working and leaving their children in daycare. Sales of daycare providers have grown by about 4.3% over the last 12 months.

Consulting This is especially a great option for industry experts in any given topic (real estate, retail, advertising, etc.) that have recently been laid off. People           always need advice, especially when trying to navigating out of tough economic times.  Management and technical consulting firms have experienced growth of 5.4% over the last 12 months.

 

Hair and nail services ­People haven’t been letting their looks go by the wayside and it is unlikely that they will start now, with signs of an upturn imminent. Personal care service providers saw their sales grow by 5.1% over the last 12 months.

Home & office painting While many people aren’t moving right now, they are taking care of what they currently own or rent. Painting contractors experienced sales growth of just over 5% over the last 12 months.

 

 

Surprising Up-tick in Construction

Monday, June 22nd, 2009

The commerce department reported a 0.8% unexpected gain in construction spending for April, marking a two month consecutive increase despite predictions that spending would drop 1.2%.  

Sageworks Index data also supports a rise in construction activity, but for an additional consecutive month as the data below indicate that sales rose 4.55 % in May after rising 2.94 % in April and 1.66 % in March.

Date NAICS - Industry Sales Pct Change Quarterly Index Change
5/1/2009 23 - Construction 4.55% 7.19%
4/1/2009 23 - Construction 3.94% -10.32%
3/1/2009 23 - Construction 1.66% -24.15%
2/1/2009 23 - Construction 0.92% -25.58%
1/1/2009 23 - Construction 3.27% -7.15%
12/1/2008 23 - Construction 5.18% -0.54%
11/1/2008 23 - Construction 6.11% 9.39%
10/1/2008 23 - Construction 6.82% 8.52%
9/1/2008 23 - Construction 7.84% -3.13%
8/1/2008 23 - Construction 9.75% -11.76%
7/1/2008 23 - Construction 10.27% -2.23%
6/1/2008 23 - Construction 9.12% 6.48%
5/1/2008 23 - Construction 9.54% 9.39%

Housing starts also showed a surprising 17.2 % increase in May after a 12.9% drop in April. While housing starts provide an outlook for future construction activity, the large number of unsold homes on the market will be a limitng reactant for new growth in residential construction.

Bankruptcy-Prone Industries

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

With all of the talk of large bankruptcy filings, Sageworks released a list of 10 types of private companies that are most likely to file for bankruptcy in the coming months. The list is based on the average debt-to-equity ratio in the industry over the last 12 months. A high debt-to-equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in using debt to finance growth. 

10 Bankruptcy-Prone Industries
According to Sageworks, Inc. Figures are based on the last 12 Months.
NAICS Industry Debt/Equity Ratio  Net Profit % Change 
4411 Automobile Dealers 4.45 -19.38%
4412 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 4.42 -10.75%
6231 Nursing Care Facilities 4.11 -1.37%
7211 Hotels & Traveler Accommodations 3.94 6.61%
4511 Sporting Goods & Hobby Stores 3.91 1.67%
2372 Land Development & Subdivision Companies  3.85 -41.63%
5616 Investigation & Security Services 3.48 -4.27%
2361 Residential Building Companies 3.45 -20.87%
3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturers 3.45 -15.97%
3231 Printing Companies 3.02 -12.95%
*Sageworks is the leading provider of private company data.